What does it mean to be at war with
terrorism? With military operations underway, and with many
Americans feeling more vulnerable even than in the days of World
War I there is a natural desire to find reference points -
something to measure this conflict against. The most recent one
is, of course, the Persian Gulf War.
At
first glance, there would seem to be little in common between the
Gulf War and the present crisis, other than the surprising manner
in which both presented themselves. The crisis in the Persian Gulf
appears, in retrospect, more straightforward and traditional: The
enemy was precisely located, highly visible and arrayed in
strength that we could calculate with some precision. The target
presented was a massive military force, and the challenge was to
counter it with a superior military force.
Our
objectives in the Gulf War were clear from the outset, though many
have thought - mostly after the fact - that those objectives were
too limited. It’s interesting to speculate, in the light of our
current circumstances, how the situation might now be different
had we added occupation of Iraq and removal of Saddam Hussein to
those objectives.. Our Arab allies, refusing to countenance an
invasion of an Arab colleague, would have deserted us, creating an
atmosphere of hostility to the United States in the region. In
addition, the situation of the United States’ being in hostile
occupation of an Arab land might well have spawned scores of Osama
bin Ladens.
This,
of course, does have implications for any military ground
operations in which we might engage in Afghanistan. But while
Sept. 11 and the invasion of Kuwait are poles apart in most ways,
there is one critical aspect in which they are strikingly similar
. The war on terrorism will be, if anything, even more dependent
on coalition-building than was the Gulf War.
The
liberation of Kuwait wouldn’t have been possible without the
development of a strong coalition of countries that provided
military forces, bases, staging areas, intelligence, isolation of
Iraq and strong moral and political support. Former president
George H. W. Bush worked tirelessly to build and maintain a
coalition of disparate countries with many different perspectives,
objectives, prejudices and capabilities.
One
constant fear was that this coalition was so “unnatural” that
it could not long survive, especially facing the tensions to which
Saddam Hussein subjected it. Thanks to enormous and unceasing
efforts, especially on the part of the president, it did survive,
and it made victory possible. It also allowed the United States to
play its role as world leader in the best possible way, with the
acquiescence, indeed support, of the world community.
To
succeed in the present conflict, it is essential that we repeat
the coalition-building of the Gulf conflict, though it could well
be more difficult this time. The potential members are even more
disparate, the goals more nebulous, the means less obvious and the
time frame indefinite. But we already hear voices declaring that
the United States is too focused on a multilateral approach. The
United States knows what needs to be done, these voices say, and
we should just go ahead and do it. Coalition partners just tie our
hands, and they all will exact a price for their support.
Those
are the same siren songs of delusion and defeat that we heard in
1990. We can no more succeed in our present campaign by acting
unilaterally than we could have in 1990. If anything, we are more
dependent on friends and allies now than we were in the Gulf
crisis. If we are to win this war in any real sense of the word,
we will need to do several things. Intelligence will be a key
factor. The cooperation of the intelligence services of every
friend and ally we can muster will greatly magnify our strength.
More specifically, the terrorists must communicate in order to
coordinate their activities. We need to get inside those
communications wherever they may take place. To do that
effectively will require significant international assistance.
The
terrorists need money. We must go after the network of funds that
supports terrorism. That is clearly impossible without widespread
and determined international cooperation.
Finally,
we need to penetrate the terrorist organizations. In many cases,
that can be done far more effectively by others than by the United
States.
If
we can do all these things effectively, we can master the
terrorist menace. If we can’t, no amount of homeland defense
will compensate. Success means a coalition, a broad coalition, a
willing and enthusiastic coalition. That will take unbelievable
effort and entail endless frustrations. But we did it in 1990 and
we can do it again. In addition, if we. build such a coalition, it
can produce benefits far beyond the principal purpose of running
terrorism to ground. It can help erase the reputation the United
States has been developing of being unilateral and indifferent, if
not arrogant, to others. It can bring us together in a spirit of
cooperation with countries with whom we currently have problems of
various kinds, such as Russia, China, Iran and Pakistan. It pan
even help unblock issues that have seemed intractable for
generations - e.g., the Arab-Israeli confrontation, With the
Europeans, it could provide the opportunity to reestablish the
kind of cooperative warmth that used to characterize our
relations.
If
we act with wisdom and perseverance, we may be able not only to
deal effectively with the war on terrorism but also to take a
major step toward solving a number of foreign policy issues having
little or nothing to do with terrorism.