As
trade negotiators meet in Doha, the House and Senate will be
considering legislation to renew the President’s trade promotion
authority. Compared to such urgent matters before Congress
as an emergency economic stimulus package and airport security
legislation, a non-specific grant of trade negotiation authority
looks out of place. But the trade bill might make a more durable
contribution to American strength than anything else on the
Congressional agenda. Here’s why:
-
A decisive
vote affirming America’s confidence in our leadership of the
global economy is crucial right now. Terrorists
attacked the symbols of our commercial and military power.
They are learning that American military might is
undiminished. It is essential that Congress demonstrate
a confidence in our leadership of the global economy. The next
meeting of the WTO must both dispel the lingering doubts left
by Seattle and describe a way forward for the international
trading system, which the United States established more than
fifty years ago. If the President and his trade
negotiators have no writ to negotiate advances in world trade,
the American commitment to open markets won’t be taken
seriously.
-
Trade
negotiating authority sets the stage for a resurgence of
export-led growth vital to any sustainable recovery.
More than a year ago, exports accounted for a significant part
of U.S. GDP growth. Now exports are at risk as our major
trading partners face contraction. But American firms are
lean, highly productive, and positioned to take advantage of
resurgent services and goods exports that create the
highest quality jobs in this country. If the policy
environment is favorable and the U.S. government presses an
agenda that opens access to the developing world’s rising
middle classes, Americans are better positioned than our
European or Asian competitors to lock in gains in these new
markets that are crucial opportunities for the coming decade.
-
Trade
promotion authority is essential to allow U.S. firms to take
advantage of an unparalleled embrace of the open trading
system by emerging economies, and to guide the process in ways
that reflect our interests. The
first step in the fifteen-year long U.S.-led effort to bring
China into global trade rules has succeeded. Now Russia, Saudi
Arabia, and more than twenty other economies in transformation
are in line to sign on to WTO commitments. The
leadership in each of those countries has made the bold move
to join a rule-based system of international commerce, betting
that it will improve the lives of their people and help these
governments meet the expectations of emerging middle classes.
If the Congress fails to send a clear signal in support of
America’s participation in that system, it rejects the
ultimate victory over a Cold War mentality and the associated
triumph of open markets and American capitalism.
The
events of September 11 reveal the weakness of the negative agenda
pushed by isolationists and the anti-globalization lobby .
This crisis has created a prejudice among responsible nations in
favor of cooperation and rule-based policies to deal with
transnational threats. Certainly such a consensus is fragile and
will come under stress as national agendas and domestic political
priorities reassert themselves. This moment holds a rare promise,
offering an organizing principle for international behavior that
could extend beyond managing terrorism and create opportunities to
build on shared economic interests. Such an opportunity might just
give multilateralism a good name.
But
a rejection of trade negotiating authority now would come at a
much higher price than the indifference which met the failed
effort at the end of the Clinton Administration. With
unemployment growth at a twenty-year high and consumption under
pressure since midyear, markets and exporters will not so easily
shrug off a decision by Congress to repudiate America’s role in
leading global trade liberalization. The Administration must make
trade promotion authority a high priority and Congress should
exercise its Constitutional power and support that goal.
Legitimate
concerns about labor rights and environmental responsibility can
and should be addressed, and solutions are available in several of
the current proposals. Failure to support American trade
leadership now could be remembered as the sign that Congress lost
faith in our ability to compete, at the very moment when the rest
of the world sought to sign on to the American values of a global
trade system we created.