|
| |
|
ISSUE
BRIEF
"Confronting Terrorism"
By Brent Scowcroft
August 9, 2000
|
|
The National Commission on Terrorism
recently issued a final report of its lengthy deliberations, under
the title "Countering the Changing Threat of International
Terrorism." It is a comprehensive analysis and series of
recommendations for dealing with this sinister threat to the lives
of iinnocent people everywhere. Many of the Commission's
recommendations are dramatic, if not controversial. At risk of
being lost among some of the more eye-catching proposals is a
section concluding that good intelligence is the best
anti-terrorist weapon.
This conclusion alone makes the entire Commission effort
worthwhile. We must recognize that we will not make progress in
the war against terrorism, let alone win it, by building Jersey
walls around our public buildings and official residences, or by
turning American embassies into structures resembling strong
points on the Maginot Line. Prudent precautions are certainly
appropriate, but we will never effectively address terrorism
solely by being on the defensive. Indeed, the image of America we
project by buttoning ourselves up behind concrete redoubts and
concertina wire is not the America we are -- and certainly not the
America we wish to display to others.
Prevention, not defense, must be at the heart of our strategy. A
primary instrument of that offensive strategy is intelligence.
Terrorists depend heavily on surprise for their success. If we can
anticipate their moves, we can almost always keep them off
balance, and often will be able to thwart their nefarious
activities. To do that, however, takes human intelligence
operations of a high order. Unfortunately, the domestic political
climate, especially in the Congress, has served to constrain the
ability of the intelligence community to operate effectively in
this arena. Terrorists live in a world in which the rules, mores,
and other trappings of civilization are almost entirely absent.
They are single purpose, dedicated, and allow nothing -- nothing
-- to stand in their way. We are singularly ill-equipped to deal
in this kind of world. To operate effectively in this arena, we
have to alter dramatically the comfortable manner in which we
prefer to conduct intelligence activities. We have to abandon our
preference for "antiseptic" technical intelligence in
favor of human intelligence -- real people on the ground. Many
case officers must take off their coats and ties and come out from
under the comfort and security of official "cover" as
embassy officials to allow them to blend with the local scenery.
They must recruit -- or contract with -- those who move freely in
this nether world. This type of person is not likely to be warmly
welcomed in a Rotary Club. As a result, we have tended over the
years to abandon these "unsavory" ways of doing
business.
It will undoubtedly be charged that emphasis on such intelligence
practices makes us little different from the terrorists
themselves, and that we cannot permit the end to justify the
means. But terrorists are willing to do anything, sacrifice
anything (including their lives) to accomplish their mission. This
is why they are effective. Bombing terrorist camps is fruitless --
by and large, terrorists don't care who or how many get killed.
Preventing them from carrying out their operations (and even
sealing off the funding which provides them equipment and movement
-- which itself would require penetration of their structures)
attacks them through their chief vulnerabilities. Even imperfect
success in such counter-terrorist intelligence practices would be
effective. Instilling in the terrorists a fear that their
organizations and operations have been penetrated would sow
suspicion and dissension in their ranks and greatly reduce their
efficiency of operation. However, the effectiveness of these
weapons in the war on terrorism rests on the quality of
intelligence -- intelligence that often can be acquired only by
distinctly "un-antiseptic" means and people.
We have to decide whether we are really serious about dealing with
terrorism or would prefer, instead, to restrict ourselves to
"clean" intelligence collection and the expenditure of
enormous sums on actions that will remain significantly
ineffective. The National Commission on Terrorism has done a great
service in exposing this unpleasant reality.
|
|